Five finalists have been invited to New York. The best player on the best team is one of them, but the LSU “Honey Badger” Tyrann Mathieu isn’t going to win. He’s a great defensive back and an electric return man, but if you look back at guys like this in the Heisman trophy race it’s a short list of winners and those on it had remarkable, eye-popping seasons. Mathieu is special… but he’s not that special.
When I hear the running back argument, it seems I hear more about Albama’s Trent Richardson than I do about Wisconsin’s Montee Ball. That’s a shame. Richardson has some pretty good numbers, but nothing that puts him in this type of class and Montee Ball has been in the end zone more than the guy who paints it. Ball led the nation in touchdowns and rushing yards, but Richardson wins the Doak Walker award? Silly. But it just goes to the point - running back votes are split. Neither of these guys is winning the Heisman.
So that leaves two quarterbacks. One of them is the talk of the NFL. Andrew Luck is the assumptive #1 pick in next year’s NFL draft and it has been alleged on numerous occasions that the Indianapolis Colts are losing games on PURPOSE to have a shot at this kid. He’s that gifted. I have no doubt that his skill set will serve him well on Sundays. He has everything the scouts are looking for and my guess is that he’ll be a fixture in the league for quite some time. Here’s the thing, though: he wasn’t the best quarterback in college football this year.
Robert Griffin III has been everything for the Baylor Bears. People hear his name and see a couple of highlights and they write him off as a running quarterback. Well, he does run… 500+ yards more than Luck did this year. But the story doesn’t end there. Not even close. Would you be surprised to know that RG3 threw for more yards this year than Luck? I thought you might. Of course, yards isn’t everything. There’s touchdowns and interceptions. Griffin threw more touchdown passes than Luck. Oh – and he threw fewer interceptions. But accuracy must be taken into account, as well. Robert Griffin III completed a higher percentage of his passes than Andrew Luck.
The only category where Luck comes out on top is team wins and quite often that is a deal-breaker. Stanford certainly is better-respected nationally than Baylor and the Cardinal are headed to a BCS bowl game. Factor that into the equation with a quarterback who’s the envy of every NFL war room and usually this is a slam dunk.
Again - this year, though, things are different. The NFL stallion in question plays on the West coast. The vast majority of the voters don’t live on the West coast. Those late starts add up a much smaller audience watching Luck do his thing. Don’t get me wrong, they see a few highlights here and there – enough to know he’s good and enough to get excited about seeing him at the next level – but they only see a couple of key games that hit primetime… and in those games, Luck was good, not great. In some years there isn’t a truly viable alternative and the West Coast guy wins anyway. Not this year.
Everyone watched what RG3 did to Oklahoma a couple of weeks ago on national TV, and it got him some much-needed attention. Add to that some flashy numbers on conference championship Saturday over Texas while Luck sat on the couch and Griffin suddenly was very much on the radar. So what’s left? Well, if I’m a voter, I guess I need to take my first real look at the season’s stats.
One more time (you know, for the drama): Robert Griffin III threw for more yards, ran for more yards, threw more touchdown passes, fewer interceptions and did it all while completing a higher percentage of passes than Andrew Luck.
He was better. And it’s going to shock a lot of people when his name is called to accept the Heisman trophy.
Don’t be surprised. He’s really good. And this time around, it’s better to be good than Luck.